Timachita kafukufuku wamsika wodziyimira pawokha pazinthu zambiri zapadziko lonse lapansi ndipo tili ndi mbiri yachilungamo, kudalirika, kudziyimira pawokha komanso kukhulupirika ndi makasitomala m'gawo lamigodi, zitsulo ndi feteleza.
CRU Consulting imapereka upangiri wodziwa komanso wothandiza kuti akwaniritse zosowa za makasitomala athu ndi omwe akukhudzidwa nawo.Maukonde athu ambiri, kumvetsetsa mozama za msika wazinthu komanso kuwunika kowunikira kumatilola kuthandiza makasitomala athu popanga zisankho.
Gulu lathu laulangizi limakonda kwambiri kuthetsa mavuto ndikupanga ubale wautali ndi makasitomala athu.Dziwani zambiri zamagulu omwe ali pafupi nanu.
Onjezani kuchita bwino, onjezerani phindu, chepetsani nthawi yopumira - konzani mayendedwe anu mothandizidwa ndi gulu lathu lodzipereka la akatswiri.
CRU Events imakhala ndi zochitika zotsogola zamabizinesi ndiukadaulo pamisika yapadziko lonse lapansi.Kudziwa kwathu kwa mafakitale omwe timagwira ntchito, kuphatikiza ubale wathu wodalirika ndi msika, kumatilola kupereka mapulogalamu ofunikira potengera mitu yoperekedwa ndi atsogoleri oganiza pamakampani athu.
Pazinthu zazikulu zokhazikika, tikukupatsani malingaliro ochulukirapo.Mbiri yathu ngati bungwe lodziyimira pawokha komanso lopanda tsankho limatanthauza kuti mutha kudalira zomwe takumana nazo, zambiri komanso malingaliro athu pazanyengo.Onse omwe akukhudzidwa ndi kagayidwe kazakudya amagwira ntchito yofunika kwambiri panjira yoti pasakhale kutulutsa mpweya.Titha kukuthandizani kukwaniritsa zolinga zanu zokhazikika, kuyambira pakuwunika kwa mfundo ndi kuchepetsa utsi mpaka kusintha kwamphamvu kwamphamvu komanso chuma chozungulira chomwe chikukula.
Kusintha kwa ndondomeko ya nyengo ndi ndondomeko zoyendetsera kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe kake.Kukhalapo kwathu padziko lonse lapansi komanso zomwe takumana nazo kwanuko zimatsimikizira kuti tikukupatsani mawu amphamvu komanso odalirika, kulikonse komwe muli.Malingaliro athu, upangiri ndi data yapamwamba kwambiri zikuthandizani kupanga zisankho zoyenera zamabizinesi kuti mukwaniritse zolinga zanu zokhazikika.
Kusintha kwa misika yazachuma, kupanga ndi ukadaulo kumathandizira kuti pakhale mpweya wa zero, koma zimakhudzidwanso ndi ndondomeko za boma.Kuchokera kukuthandizani kumvetsetsa momwe mfundozi zimakukhudzirani, kulosera zamitengo ya kaboni, kuyerekeza kuchotsera kaboni mwakufuna kwanu, kutulutsa mpweya wofananira, ndi kuyang'anira matekinoloje ochepetsa mpweya, CRU Sustainability imakupatsani chithunzi chachikulu.
Kusintha kwa magetsi oyeretsa kumaika zofuna zatsopano pamayendedwe a kampani.Pogwiritsa ntchito deta yathu yambiri komanso zomwe takumana nazo mumakampani, CRU Sustainability imapereka kusanthula mwatsatanetsatane za tsogolo la mphamvu zongowonjezwdwa, kuchokera kumphepo ndi dzuwa kupita ku hydrogen wobiriwira ndikusungirako.Titha kuyankhanso mafunso anu okhudza magalimoto amagetsi, zitsulo za batri, kufunikira kwa zinthu zopangira komanso mawonekedwe amitengo.
Maonekedwe a chilengedwe, chikhalidwe ndi utsogoleri (ESG) akusintha mofulumira.Kuchita bwino kwa zinthu ndi kukonzanso zinthu zikufunika kwambiri.Kuthekera kwathu pamanetiweki ndi kafukufuku wakumaloko, kuphatikiza ndi chidziwitso chakuzama chamsika, kukuthandizani kuyang'ana misika yachiwiri yovuta ndikumvetsetsa momwe mayendedwe okhazikika amapangidwira.Kuchokera ku maphunziro a zochitika mpaka kukonzekera zochitika, timakuthandizani kuthetsa mavuto ndikuthandizani kuti muzolowere chuma chozungulira.
Kuyerekeza kwamitengo ya CRU kutengera kumvetsetsa kwathu koyambira pamsika wazinthu, kagwiridwe kake kazinthu zonse, komanso kumvetsetsa kwathu komanso kuthekera kwathu kusanthula msika.Chiyambireni kukhazikitsidwa kwathu mu 1969, takhala tikuchita kafukufuku woyambirira komanso njira yolimba komanso yowonekera, kuphatikiza mitengo.
Werengani nkhani zathu zaukatswiri zaposachedwa, phunzirani za ntchito yathu kuchokera m'kafukufuku, kapena dziwani zamawebusayiti ndi maphunziro omwe akubwera.
Kuyambira 2015, chitetezo cha malonda padziko lonse chikuwonjezeka.Kodi chinachititsa zimenezi n'chiyani?Kodi izi zikhudza bwanji malonda azitsulo padziko lonse lapansi?Ndipo izi zikutanthauza chiyani kwa malonda amtsogolo ndi ogulitsa kunja?
Kuwonjezeka kwa Mafunde a Chitetezo Njira zotetezera malonda m'dzikoli zikungotembenuza katundu kuchokera kunja kupita kuzinthu zodula kwambiri, kukweza mitengo yapakhomo ndi kupereka chitetezo chowonjezera kwa opanga malire a dziko.Pogwiritsa ntchito chitsanzo cha US ndi China, kusanthula kwathu kumasonyeza kuti ngakhale pambuyo poyambitsa njira zamalonda, mlingo wa katundu wa US ndi mlingo wa katundu wa China sizimasiyana ndi zomwe zikuyembekezeredwa, chifukwa cha msika wa zitsulo zapakhomo wa aliyense. dziko.
Mapeto ake onse ndi akuti "zitsulo zimatha ndipo zidzapeza nyumba."Maiko otumiza kunja adzafunikabe zitsulo zotumizidwa kunja kuti zigwirizane ndi zofuna zawo zapakhomo, malinga ndi kupikisana kwamtengo wapatali komanso, nthawi zina, kukwanitsa kupanga magiredi ena, omwe palibe omwe amakhudzidwa ndi malonda.
Kuwunika kwathu kukuwonetsa kuti pazaka 5 zikubwerazi, pamene msika waku China ukukula bwino, malonda azitsulo akuyenera kutsika kuchokera pachimake mu 2016, makamaka chifukwa chakutsika kwamayiko aku China, koma kuyenera kukhalabe pamwamba pa milingo ya 2013.Malinga ndi database ya CRU, milandu yopitilira 100 yazamalonda idaperekedwa zaka 2 zapitazi;pamene onse akuluakulu ogulitsa kunja anali zolinga zazikulu, chiwerengero chachikulu cha milandu yamalonda chinali chotsutsana ndi China.
Izi zikusonyeza kuti malo chabe a zitsulo zazikulu zogulitsa kunja kumawonjezera mwayi woti pakhale mlandu wamalonda wotsutsana ndi dziko, mosasamala kanthu za zifukwa zomwe zilili.
Zitha kuwoneka kuchokera patebulo kuti milandu yambiri yamalonda ndi yamalonda okulungidwa otentha monga rebar ndi ma coil opiringidwa otentha, pomwe zocheperako zimakhala zamtengo wapatali wamtengo wapatali monga koyilo yozizira ndi pepala lokutidwa.Ngakhale ziwerengero za mbale ndi zitoliro zopanda msoko zimaonekera bwino pankhaniyi, zikuwonetsa mkhalidwe wochulukirachulukira m'mafakitalewa.Koma zotsatira za njira zomwe zili pamwambazi ndi zotani?Kodi zimakhudza bwanji kayendedwe ka malonda?
Nchiyani chimayambitsa kukula kwa chitetezo?Chimodzi mwa zifukwa zazikulu zomwe zimayendetsa kulimbitsa chitetezo cha malonda pazaka ziwiri zapitazi zakhala kuwonjezeka kwa katundu wa China kuchokera ku 2013. Monga momwe tawonetsera m'chithunzichi, kuyambira tsopano, kukula kwa malonda a zitsulo padziko lonse kumayendetsedwa ndi China, ndipo gawo la zogulitsa kunja kwa China pakupanga zitsulo zapakhomo zakwera kwambiri.
Poyambirira, makamaka mu 2014, kukula kwa malonda a ku China sikunabweretse mavuto padziko lonse: msika wazitsulo wa US unali wamphamvu ndipo dzikolo linali losangalala kuvomereza zogulitsa kunja, pamene misika yazitsulo m'mayiko ena inachita bwino.Zinthu zinasintha mu 2015. Kufuna kwapadziko lonse kwazitsulo kunagwa ndi oposa 2%, makamaka mu theka lachiwiri la 2015, kufunika kwa msika wachitsulo ku China kunagwa kwambiri, ndipo phindu la malonda a zitsulo linagwa kwambiri.Kusanthula kwamitengo ya CRU kukuwonetsa kuti mtengo wotumizira zitsulo uli pafupi ndi mtengo wosinthika (onani tchati patsamba lotsatira).
Izi mwazokha sizopanda nzeru, monga makampani azitsulo aku China akuyang'ana kuti athetse vutoli, ndipo ndi kutanthauzira kosamalitsa kwa Term 1, izi sizikutanthauza "kutaya" zitsulo pamsika wapadziko lonse, monga mitengo yapakhomo inali yotsika panthawiyo.Komabe, zogulitsa kunjazi zimapweteka makampani azitsulo kwina kulikonse padziko lapansi, chifukwa mayiko ena sangavomereze kuchuluka kwa zinthu zomwe zilipo potengera momwe msika wawo ulili.
Mu theka lachiwiri la 2015, China anatseka 60Mt kupanga mphamvu zake chifukwa cha zinthu nkhanza, koma mlingo wa kuchepa, kukula China monga dziko lalikulu steelmaking, ndi kulimbana mkati kwa gawo msika pakati ng'anjo zoweta kupatsidwa ulemu ndi lalikulu Integrated zitsulo mphero kusuntha kuthamanga kutseka malo opangira zinthu m'mphepete mwa nyanja.Zotsatira zake, chiwerengero cha milandu yamalonda chinayamba kuwonjezeka, makamaka motsutsana ndi China.
Zotsatira za malonda pa malonda achitsulo pakati pa US ndi China zikhoza kufalikira ku mayiko ena.Tchati chomwe chili kumanzere chikuwonetsa zomwe US amatumiza kuchokera ku 2011 komanso phindu lodziwika bwino lamakampani azitsulo mdziko muno potengera chidziwitso cha CRU chandalama ndi kayendetsedwe ka mitengo.
Choyamba, ziyenera kuzindikiridwa kuti, monga momwe zikuwonetsedwera ku scatterplot kumanja, pali mgwirizano wamphamvu pakati pa mlingo wa katundu wochokera kunja ndi mphamvu ya msika wapakhomo wa US, monga momwe zikuwonetsedwera ndi phindu la malonda azitsulo.Izi zikutsimikiziridwa ndi kafukufuku wa CRU wa kayendedwe kazitsulo zazitsulo, zomwe zimasonyeza kuti malonda azitsulo pakati pa mayiko awiriwa amayendetsedwa ndi zinthu zitatu zofunika.Izi zikuphatikizapo:
Chilichonse mwazinthuzi chikhoza kulimbikitsa malonda achitsulo pakati pa mayiko nthawi iliyonse, ndipo pochita zinthu zomwe zimakhalapo zimatha kusintha kawirikawiri.
Tikuwona kuti kuyambira kumapeto kwa chaka cha 2013 mpaka chaka chonse cha 2014, pamene msika wa US unayamba kupitirira misika ina, unalimbikitsa katundu wa m'nyumba ndipo katundu wamba adakwera kwambiri.Momwemonso, zogulitsa kunja zinayamba kuchepa pamene gawo la US, monga maiko ena ambiri, likuipiraipira mu theka lachiwiri la 2015. Phindu la mafakitale azitsulo a US linakhalabe lofooka mpaka kumayambiriro kwa 2016, ndipo zochitika zamakono zamalonda zinayambitsidwa ndi a. nthawi yayitali ya phindu lochepa.Zochita izi zayamba kale kusokoneza kayendetsedwe ka malonda chifukwa mitengo yamtengo wapatali yakhala ikugwiritsidwa ntchito pa katundu wochokera kumayiko ena.Komabe, ndikofunika kudziwa kuti ngakhale kuitanitsa kunja kwa US pakali pano kuli kovuta kwambiri kwa ogulitsa ena akuluakulu, kuphatikizapo China, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, ndi Turkey, katundu yense wa dzikoli sakutsika kuposa momwe amayembekezera.Mlingo unali pakati pa zomwe zimayembekezeredwa.osiyanasiyana, kupatsidwa mphamvu zamakono msika wapakhomo isanafike 2014 boom.Makamaka, chifukwa cha kulimba kwa msika wapakhomo waku China, zogulitsa zonse zaku China pakadali pano zili mkati mwazomwe zikuyembekezeredwa (zolemba sizikuwonetsedwa), zomwe zikuwonetsa kuti kukhazikitsidwa kwa njira zamalonda sikunakhudze kwambiri kuthekera kwake kapena kufunitsitsa kwake kutumiza kunja.Ndiye izi zikutanthauza chiyani?
Izi zikusonyeza kuti, mosasamala kanthu za tarifi ndi zoletsa zosiyanasiyana zogulira katundu kuchokera ku China ndi maiko ena kupita ku United States, izi sizinachepetse mlingo wonse woyembekezeredwa wa katundu wa kunja, kapena mlingo woyembekezeredwa wa katundu wa kunja kwa China.Izi zili choncho chifukwa, mwachitsanzo, milingo ya US yotumiza kunja ndi ku China zotumiza kunja zikugwirizana ndi zinthu zofunika kwambiri zomwe zafotokozedwa pamwambapa ndipo sizingagwirizane ndi zoletsa zamalonda kupatula zoletsa zenizeni kapena zoletsa.
Mu March 2002, boma la US linayambitsa msonkho wa Gawo 201 ndipo panthawi imodzimodziyo linakweza mitengo yamtengo wapatali pazitsulo zogulitsa kunja kwa mayiko ambiri kumayiko ambiri, zomwe zingatchulidwe kuti ndizoletsa kwambiri malonda.Kutumiza kunja kunatsika pafupifupi 30% pakati pa 2001 ndi 2003, koma ngakhale zili choncho, tinganene kuti kuchepa kwakukulu kunakhudzana mwachindunji ndi kuwonongeka kwa msika wapakhomo ku US komwe kunatsatira.Ngakhale kuti tariffs anali m'malo, katundu anasintha monga ankayembekezera maiko opanda msonkho (mwachitsanzo, Canada, Mexico, Turkey), koma mayiko okhudzidwa ndi tariffs anapitiriza kupereka zina kunja, mtengo wapamwamba amene anatumiza US zitsulo mitengo mkulu.zomwe zikhoza kuchitika.Misonkho ya Gawo 201 idachotsedwa pambuyo pake mu 2003 chifukwa idawonedwa ngati kuphwanya zomwe US idachita ku WTO, komanso European Union itawopseza kubwezera.Pambuyo pake, zogulitsa kunja zinawonjezeka, koma mogwirizana ndi kusintha kwakukulu kwa msika.
Kodi izi zikutanthauza chiyani pazambiri zamalonda?Monga tafotokozera pamwambapa, kuchuluka kwa zinthu zomwe US akutumiza kunja sikotsika poyerekeza ndi zomwe zingayembekezeredwe pakufuna kwapakhomo, koma momwe zinthu zilili m'mayiko ogulitsa zinthu zasintha.Zimakhala zovuta kudziwa zoyambira zofananira, koma zogulitsa zonse zaku US koyambirira kwa 2012 zinali zofanana ndi zomwe zili koyambirira kwa 2017. Kuyerekeza kwa mayiko ogulitsa pazaka ziwirizi kukuwonetsedwa pansipa:
Ngakhale siziri zotsimikizika, tebulo likuwonetsa kuti magwero a zinthu zaku US asintha pazaka zingapo zapitazi.Pakalipano pali zinthu zambiri zomwe zikubwera ku gombe la US kuchokera ku Japan, Brazil, Turkey, ndi Canada, pamene zinthu zochepa zimachokera ku China, Korea, Vietnam, ndipo, chochititsa chidwi, Mexico (zindikirani kuti chidule cha Mexico chikhoza kukhala ndi maganizo okhudza mikangano yaposachedwapa. pakati pa US ndi US).Mexico) ndi chikhumbo cha olamulira a Trump kuti akambiranenso za NAFTA).
Kwa ine, izi zikutanthauza kuti madalaivala akuluakulu a malonda - mpikisano wamtengo wapatali, mphamvu ya misika yapakhomo, ndi mphamvu za misika yopitako - zimakhalabe zofunika monga kale.Choncho, pansi pa zochitika zina zomwe zimagwirizanitsidwa ndi mphamvu zoyendetsa galimotozi, pali mlingo wachilengedwe wa katundu ndi zogulitsa kunja, ndipo zoletsa zamalonda zokhazokha kapena kusokonezeka kwakukulu kwa msika kungasokoneze kapena kusintha kulikonse.
Kwa mayiko omwe amatumiza zitsulo kunja, izi zikutanthauza kuti "zitsulo zimatha kupeza nyumba nthawi zonse."Kusanthula pamwambaku kukuwonetsa kuti mayiko omwe amatumiza zitsulo monga United States, zoletsa zamalonda zingakhudze pang'ono kuchuluka kwa zinthu zomwe zimatumizidwa kunja, koma kuchokera ku malingaliro a wogulitsa, zogulitsa kunja zidzasunthira ku "njira yabwino yotsatira".M'malo mwake, "chachiwiri bwino" chingatanthauze mitengo yotsika mtengo, yomwe ingakweze mitengo yapakhomo ndikupereka chitetezo chowonjezera kwa opanga zitsulo kumayiko okwera mtengo kwambiri2, ngakhale kupikisana kwamitengo yoyambira kumakhalabe komweko.Komabe, m'kupita kwa nthawi, mikhalidwe iyi ikhoza kukhala ndi zotsatira zodziwika bwino zamapangidwe.Panthawi imodzimodziyo, kupikisana kwamitengo kungawonongeke chifukwa opanga sakhala ndi chilimbikitso chochepa chochepetsera mtengo pamene mitengo ikukwera.Kuonjezera apo, kukwera kwamitengo yazitsulo kudzafooketsa mpikisano wamakampani opanga zinthu, ndipo pokhapokha ngati zopinga zamalonda ziikidwa pazitsulo zonse zamtengo wapatali, zofuna zapakhomo zimatha kutsika pamene zitsulo zimasuntha kunja kwa dziko.
Kuyang'ana m'tsogolo Nanga izi zikutanthauza chiyani pazamalonda padziko lonse lapansi?Monga tanenera, pali mbali zitatu zazikulu za malonda a padziko lonse - kupikisana kwa mtengo, mphamvu za msika wapakhomo, ndi udindo pa msika wopitako - zomwe zimakhudza kwambiri malonda pakati pa mayiko.Timamvanso kuti, chifukwa cha kukula kwake, China ili pachimake pamkangano wokhudza malonda apadziko lonse lapansi ndi mitengo yazitsulo.Koma tinganene chiyani za izi zamalonda pazaka 5 zikubwerazi?
Choyamba, mbali yakumanzere ya tchati yomwe ili pamwambayi ikuwonetsa momwe CRU ikuwonera mphamvu ndikugwiritsa ntchito kwa China mpaka 2021. Tikukhulupirira kuti dziko la China lidzakwaniritsa cholinga chake chotseka, chomwe chiyenera kuwonjezera kugwiritsa ntchito mphamvu kuchokera pa 70-75% mpaka 85% kutengera zitsulo zofuna zoneneratu.Momwe msika ukuyendera bwino, msika wapakhomo (ie, phindu) udzakhalanso bwino, ndipo zitsulo zazitsulo zaku China sizikhala ndi chilimbikitso chochepa chotumizira kunja.Kufufuza kwathu kumasonyeza kuti katundu wa China akhoza kugwera ku <70 metric tons kuchokera ku 110 metric tons mu 2015. Padziko lonse lapansi, monga momwe tawonetsera pa tchati kumanja, timakhulupirira kuti kufunikira kwa chitsulo kudzawonjezeka pazaka 5 zikubwerazi ndipo monga Zotsatira za "misika yopita" iyenda bwino ndikuyamba kutsekereza zogula kuchokera kunja.Komabe, sitiyembekezera kuti kusiyana kwakukulu pakati pa machitidwe pakati pa mayiko ndi zotsatira zake pa kayendetsedwe ka malonda ziyenera kukhala zochepa.Kusanthula pogwiritsa ntchito mtundu wamtengo wachitsulo wa CRU kukuwonetsa kusintha kwina kwa mpikisano wamitengo, koma osakwanira kukhudza kwambiri kayendetsedwe kazamalonda padziko lonse lapansi.Zotsatira zake, tikuyembekeza kuti malonda atsika kuchokera pachimake chaposachedwapa, makamaka chifukwa cha kutsika kwa katundu wochokera ku China, koma kukhalabe pamwamba pa 2013.
Utumiki wapadera wa CRU ndi zotsatira za chidziwitso chathu chakuya chamsika komanso ubale wapamtima ndi makasitomala athu.Tikuyembekezera yankho lanu.
Nthawi yotumiza: Jan-25-2023